A number of technology-contributing IEEE members have now refused to be bound by the IEEE's new patent policy adopted in February 2015. The question is, what does that mean for the IEEE as a Standards Setting Organization (SSO)?
In my experience, the strength of the international competitive-collaborative style of telecommunications standardization - largely pioneered by ETSI - lies in the fact that individual technical contributions compete purely on technical merit. This means that the type of competence needed for the effort can be highly specialized; basically some of the very best research engineers in the field, from all over the world, get together to create these complex standards. This ensures cutting-edge, future proof, global standards.
This in turn is possible when the SSO's patent policy has been generally agreed by all members on a high level, and patent policy issues can therefore effectively be "removed" from the daily standardization work itself. Those specialist engineers can focus all their efforts on inventing new clever solutions and arguing about the technical pros and cons of each other's proposals. And importantly, they can spend zero time thinking about patent policy.
But in the IEEE today we have a fragmented situation where a subset of its members have publicly stated that they will not adhere to the IEEE's new patent policy. Here some readers may of course wonder why those members aren't then simply "thrown out" of the IEEE's SSO work? But actually, in order to make the work of an SSO - not only the IEEE - as inclusive as possible, contributors are allowed to declare on a case by case basis which patent policy their patented contribution would be licensed under, which in fact does not have to be the policy adopted by the SSO. It's just that the norm has typically been that all members have agreed with the SSO's policy. But in the IEEE we now have an anomaly. The existence of these "disagreeing members" creates some distinct challenges to the IEEE's standardization effort going forward, at least within 802.11 ("WiFi") standardization.
Prior to the new policy's acceptance in Feb 2015, disagreeing members had submitted - and the IEEE had accepted - certain so-called Letters of Assurance (LoA) endorsing the old IEEE policy for certain 802.11 standards. LoAs are documents describing under which conditions the submitter agrees to license its potential SEPs for a specified standard, i.e. essentially whether the existing IEEE patent policy is agreeable to the submitter or if another policy will be used instead. Now, with the assumption that accepted adherence to a given IEEE patent policy cannot be changed retroactively, SEPs relating to the IEEE standard(s) specified in those pre-Feb-2015 LoAs will therefore be subject to two different patent policies - the old and new IEEE patent policy - depending on who owns the SEP in question.
Some of those standards are already finalized, and in those cases the impact will largely be limited to the licensing and dispute resolution spheres. However, some standards are still being worked on, meaning that there can be an impact within the SSO work itself. There could be an increased risk of proposals not being selected purely on technical merit, but potentially also based on whether the submitter supports the new or old IEEE patent policy. Thankfully, standardization/research engineers' natural behaviour is to focus on technical merit, but one still can't rule out that their management could convince them to behave differently.
Furthermore, regarding potential SEPs for IEEE standards not specified in those pre-Feb-2015 LoAs, new LoAs would have to be submitted. But a disagreeing member submitting a new LoA would - by definition - tick the box stating its disagreement with the (new) IEEE policy. So at least if the disagreeing member's proposed solution would technically outsmart all other proposals, there's a potential issue to resolve. Assuming that technical merit continues to be the yardstick, that proposal should be selected for inclusion into the IEEE standard in question. But in this case the IEEE would instead have to examine the LoA and decide whether it would be acceptable or not. This would generally have to be done on a case-by-case basis. And if the LoA would not be acceptable to the IEEE's members, the technical proposal itself can't be accepted. Or in other words, the admittedly best technical solution would have to be actively de-selected from the standard (!).
There has been some speculation as to whether Qualcomm - one of the disagreeing members - could benefit from its recent acquisition of Cambridge Silicone Radio (CSR) in the sense that CSR had made a "broader than usual" pre-Feb-2015 blanket LoA covering all IEEE 802.11 (WiFi) standards. Qualcomm could then allegedly utilize the CSR LoA to license also its future SEPs according to the old IEEE policy at least for all future versions of WiFi. If so, it would at least save Qualcomm from having to make those new "potentially difficult" LoAs for IEEE 802.11. While that could reduce the probability of its proposals being rejected due to origin, the risk will still be there given that Qualcomm, after all, doesn't adhere to the new IEEE policy.
Clearly, scenarios as described above threaten to remove the "pure technical bliss" of the classic international competitive-collaborative standardization effort within the IEEE. There may now have to be more patent engineers and patent attorneys involved in the SSO work processes. The efficiency of the IEEE as an SSO will likely suffer, and alarmingly, the IEEE's future standards run the risk of not containing the best technology out there. Even worse, the best technology may have been made available to the IEEE, who then actively rejected it. If such fears materialize, some companies might very well leave the IEEE and instead support - or perhaps even create - other competing standards through other means.
The new IEEE patent policy's apparent disconnect with the law is problematic. Only last week in its CSIRO vs Cisco appeal decision, the US Federal Circuit squarely rejected one of the key principles of the new policy, namely the mandatory chipset royalty base. In the same breath, the Federal Circuit re-emphasized the importance of evidence in the form of comparable licenses, also in stark contrast to the new policy. We also know that the new policy's rule on injunctive relief in practice also differs from Federal Circuit opinion.
The IEEE, and ultimately the general public, would surely benefit the most if the IEEE stays strong and relevant, capable of efficiently creating top-notch standards going forward. So perhaps it's time for a pragmatic and open discussion among IEEE members with the aim to consolidate the different viewpoints in the light of the law. Another update of the policy may very well be needed to put the IEEE's standardization work back on track again.